Replacemeter

Can AI Replace General Internal Medicine Physicians in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 74% of today's general internal medicine physicians tasks by 2036, and there is a 22% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
35%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 22% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.9 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 15%2027: 18%2028: 22%2029: 28%2030: 35%2031: 44%2032: 53%2033: 61%2034: 67%2035: 71%2036: 74%35%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 982031: 962032: 942033: 922034: 912035: 902036: 9098
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Similar occupations

Obstetricians and Gynecologists · Pediatricians, General · Family Medicine Physicians · Cardiologists

Based on 19 O*NET tasks for "General Internal Medicine Physicians" (SOC 29-1216.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 91%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10