Can AI Replace General Internal Medicine Physicians in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 74% of today's general internal medicine physicians tasks by 2036, and there is a 22% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
35%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 22% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.9 roles
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Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills
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Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks
- Registered Nurses — 11% chance of contraction by 2036
- Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric — 9% chance of contraction by 2036
- Pediatric Surgeons — 9% chance of contraction by 2036
Similar occupations
Obstetricians and Gynecologists · Pediatricians, General · Family Medicine Physicians · Cardiologists
Based on 19 O*NET tasks for "General Internal Medicine Physicians" (SOC 29-1216.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 91%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10