Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Pediatricians, General in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 78% of today's pediatricians, general tasks by 2036, and there is a 23% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
37%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
97
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 23% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 16%2027: 19%2028: 23%2029: 29%2030: 37%2031: 47%2032: 56%2033: 65%2034: 71%2035: 75%2036: 78%37%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 972031: 952032: 932033: 912034: 902035: 902036: 8997
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Similar occupations

Family Medicine Physicians · Obstetricians and Gynecologists · General Internal Medicine Physicians · Advanced Practice Psychiatric Nurses

Based on 17 O*NET tasks for "Pediatricians, General" (SOC 29-1221.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 97%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10