Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Registered Nurses in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 50% of today's registered nurses tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
25%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 11% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.5 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 14%2028: 16%2029: 20%2030: 25%2031: 31%2032: 37%2033: 42%2034: 46%2035: 49%2036: 50%25%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1012028: 1012029: 1002030: 1002031: 992032: 982033: 972034: 972035: 962036: 97100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

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Similar occupations

Family Medicine Physicians · Pediatricians, General · Obstetricians and Gynecologists · Physician Assistants

Based on 27 O*NET tasks for "Registered Nurses" (SOC 29-1141.00). LLM alone: 5% of tasks; with AI tools: 62%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10