Can AI Replace Registered Nurses in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 50% of today's registered nurses tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
25%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 11% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.5 roles
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Based on 27 O*NET tasks for "Registered Nurses" (SOC 29-1141.00). LLM alone: 5% of tasks; with AI tools: 62%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10