All occupations › Healthcare practitionersCan AI Replace Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 49% of today's orthopedic surgeons, except pediatric tasks by 2036, and there is a 9% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 9% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 12% 2027: 14% 2028: 16% 2029: 20% 2030: 25% 2031: 31% 2032: 36% 2033: 41% 2034: 45% 2035: 47% 2036: 49% 25% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 101 2027: 101 2028: 101 2029: 101 2030: 100 2031: 100 2032: 99 2033: 98 2034: 98 2035: 98 2036: 98 100 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions, and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, or operating rooms. 2 Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, assistants, specialists, residents, and other medical staff. 3 Examine instruments, equipment, and operating room to ensure sterility. 4 Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment. 5 Order and interpret the results of laboratory tests and diagnostic imaging procedures. 6 Refer patient to medical specialist or other practitioners when necessary. 7 Prepare case histories. Your plan Ticks are saved in this browser only.
Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Prepare case histories". Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Manage surgery services, including planning, scheduling and coordination, determination of procedures, or procurement of supplies and equipment". Get visibly better at your human core: "Diagnose bodily disorders and orthopedic conditions, and provide treatments, such as medicines and surgeries, in clinics, hospital wards, or operating rooms". Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output. Based on 15 O*NET tasks for "Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric" (SOC 29-1242.00). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 60%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
