Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Teaching Assistants, Special Education in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 32% of today's teaching assistants, special education tasks by 2036, and there is a 14% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
19%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 14% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 13%2028: 14%2029: 16%2030: 19%2031: 22%2032: 25%2033: 27%2034: 29%2035: 31%2036: 32%19%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 992030: 982031: 972032: 962033: 962034: 952035: 952036: 9598
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education · Special Education Teachers, Middle School · Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten · Special Education Teachers, Secondary School

Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Teaching Assistants, Special Education" (SOC 25-9043.00). LLM alone: 17% of tasks; with AI tools: 37%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10