Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 33% of today's special education teachers, kindergarten tasks by 2036, and there is a 16% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
18%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 16% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.3 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 10%2027: 11%2028: 13%2029: 15%2030: 18%2031: 22%2032: 25%2033: 28%2034: 31%2035: 32%2036: 33%18%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 982030: 982031: 962032: 952033: 952034: 942035: 932036: 9398
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Special Education Teachers, Middle School · Special Education Teachers, Elementary School · Special Education Teachers, Secondary School · Special Education Teachers, Preschool

Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten" (SOC 25-2055.00). LLM alone: 10% of tasks; with AI tools: 40%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10