Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Special Education Teachers, Elementary School in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 44% of today's special education teachers, elementary school tasks by 2036, and there is a 21% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
23%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
97
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
11% 2030 · 21% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 14%2028: 16%2029: 19%2030: 23%2031: 28%2032: 33%2033: 37%2034: 41%2035: 43%2036: 44%23%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 992029: 982030: 972031: 952032: 942033: 932034: 922035: 912036: 9197
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Special Education Teachers, Middle School · Special Education Teachers, Secondary School · Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten · Special Education Teachers, Preschool

Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Special Education Teachers, Elementary School" (SOC 25-2056.00). LLM alone: 10% of tasks; with AI tools: 53%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10