All occupations › Personal care & serviceCan AI Replace Recreation Workers in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 30% of today's recreation workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
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Timeline Year 2030 Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 10% 2027: 11% 2028: 12% 2029: 14% 2030: 17% 2031: 20% 2032: 23% 2033: 26% 2034: 28% 2035: 29% 2036: 30% 17% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 101 2028: 101 2029: 101 2030: 100 2031: 100 2032: 100 2033: 99 2034: 99 2035: 99 2036: 100 100 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Enforce rules and regulations of recreational facilities to maintain discipline and ensure safety. 2 Organize, lead, and promote interest in recreational activities, such as arts, crafts, sports, games, camping, and hobbies. 3 Administer first aid according to prescribed procedures and notify emergency medical personnel when necessary. 4 Schedule maintenance and use of facilities. 5 Develop treatment goals for individuals based on their assessments. 6 Assess the needs and interests of individuals and groups and plan activities accordingly, given the available equipment or facilities. 7 Complete and maintain time and attendance forms and inventory lists. 8 Document individuals' progress toward meeting their treatment goals. 9 Evaluate staff performance, recording evaluations on appropriate forms. Based on 24 O*NET tasks for "Recreation Workers" (SOC 39-9032.00). LLM alone: 12% of tasks; with AI tools: 36%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
