Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Recreational Therapists in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 45% of today's recreational therapists tasks by 2036, and there is a 10% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
24%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 10% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 14%2028: 16%2029: 19%2030: 24%2031: 29%2032: 34%2033: 38%2034: 41%2035: 44%2036: 45%24%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1012028: 1012029: 1012030: 1002031: 992032: 992033: 982034: 982035: 982036: 98100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

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Based on 11 O*NET tasks for "Recreational Therapists" (SOC 29-1125.00). LLM alone: 9% of tasks; with AI tools: 55%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10