Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Special Education Teachers, Secondary School in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 42% of today's special education teachers, secondary school tasks by 2036, and there is a 20% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
22%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
97
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
11% 2030 · 20% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 13%2028: 15%2029: 18%2030: 22%2031: 27%2032: 31%2033: 35%2034: 38%2035: 40%2036: 42%22%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 992029: 982030: 972031: 952032: 942033: 932034: 922035: 922036: 9197
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Special Education Teachers, Middle School · Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education · Special Education Teachers, Elementary School · Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten

Based on 40 O*NET tasks for "Special Education Teachers, Secondary School" (SOC 25-2058.00). LLM alone: 10% of tasks; with AI tools: 50%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10