Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 52% of today's secondary school teachers, except special and career/technical education tasks by 2036, and there is a 29% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
25%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
95
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
13% 2030 · 29% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.6 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 13%2028: 16%2029: 20%2030: 25%2031: 32%2032: 38%2033: 43%2034: 47%2035: 50%2036: 52%25%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 972030: 952031: 932032: 912033: 902034: 892035: 882036: 8795
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education · Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education · Career/Technical Education Teachers, Secondary School · Special Education Teachers, Secondary School

Based on 32 O*NET tasks for "Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education" (SOC 25-2031.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 64%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10