Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 41% of today's teaching assistants, preschool, elementary, middle, and secondary school, except special education tasks by 2036, and there is a 17% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
25%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
97
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 17% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 17%2027: 18%2028: 20%2029: 22%2030: 25%2031: 29%2032: 33%2033: 36%2034: 38%2035: 40%2036: 41%25%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 992029: 982030: 972031: 962032: 952033: 942034: 942035: 932036: 9397
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Teaching Assistants, Special Education · Substitute Teachers, Short-Term · Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education · Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education

Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Teaching Assistants, Preschool, Elementary, Middle, and Secondary School, Except Special Education" (SOC 25-9042.00). LLM alone: 27% of tasks; with AI tools: 47%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10