All occupations › Installation, maintenance & repairCan AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers in 2026? Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 64% of today's first-line supervisors of mechanics, installers, and repairers tasks by 2036, and there is a 31% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
13% 2030 · 31% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.8 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 14% 2027: 16% 2028: 20% 2029: 25% 2030: 31% 2031: 39% 2032: 47% 2033: 54% 2034: 59% 2035: 62% 2036: 64% 31% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 99 2028: 99 2029: 97 2030: 95 2031: 93 2032: 91 2033: 89 2034: 88 2035: 87 2036: 87 95 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
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Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements. 2 Inspect and monitor work areas, examine tools and equipment, and provide employee safety training to prevent, detect, and correct unsafe conditions or violations of… 3 Perform skilled repair or maintenance operations, using equipment such as hand or power tools, hydraulic presses or shears, or welding equipment. 4 Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors. 5 Requisition materials and supplies, such as tools, equipment, or replacement parts. 6 Compile operational or personnel records, such as time and production records, inventory data, repair or maintenance statistics, or test results. 7 Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems. Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills Your plan Ticks are saved in this browser only.
Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems". Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors". Get visibly better at your human core: "Inspect, test, and measure completed work, using devices such as hand tools or gauges to verify conformance to standards or repair requirements". Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output. Read about a lower-risk move: First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand. Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks Based on 22 O*NET tasks for "First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers" (SOC 49-1011.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 80%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
