Can AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 31% of today's first-line supervisors of helpers, laborers, and material movers, hand tasks by 2036, and there is a 17% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

16%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

10% 2030 · 17% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

1.3 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Prepare and maintain work records and reports of information such as employee time and wages, daily receipts, or inspection results".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Schedule times of shipment and modes of transportation for materials".Get visibly better at your human core: "Maintain a safe working environment by monitoring safety procedures and equipment".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.

Similar occupations

First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers · First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators · First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers · First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers

Based on 24 O*NET tasks for "First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand" (SOC 53-1042.00). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 38%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10