Can AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 47% of today's first-line supervisors of landscaping, lawn service, and groundskeeping workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 21% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

26%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

11% 2030 · 21% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

1.4 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills

Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers8% risk by 2036 Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation9% risk by 2036 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse10% risk by 2036

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Maintain required records, such as personnel information or project records".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Answer inquiries from current or prospective customers regarding methods, materials, or price ranges".Get visibly better at your human core: "Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.Read about a lower-risk move: Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers.

Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers — 8% chance of contraction by 2036
Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation — 9% chance of contraction by 2036
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse — 10% chance of contraction by 2036

Similar occupations

First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers · First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers · First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants · First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers

Based on 28 O*NET tasks for "First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers" (SOC 37-1012.00). LLM alone: 14% of tasks; with AI tools: 56%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10