Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 4% of today's landscaping and groundskeeping workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
2%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 1%2027: 1%2028: 1%2029: 1%2030: 2%2031: 2%2032: 3%2033: 3%2034: 4%2035: 4%2036: 4%2%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 1002030: 1002031: 1002032: 1002033: 1002034: 1002035: 992036: 99100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse · First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers · Tree Trimmers and Pruners · Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners

Based on 27 O*NET tasks for "Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers" (SOC 37-3011.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 5%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10