Can AI Replace Tree Trimmers and Pruners in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 6% of today's tree trimmers and pruners tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
4%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
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Based on 26 O*NET tasks for "Tree Trimmers and Pruners" (SOC 37-3013.00). LLM alone: 5% of tasks; with AI tools: 7%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10