Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 9% of today's pesticide handlers, sprayers, and applicators, vegetation tasks by 2036, and there is a 9% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
4%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 9% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 2%2027: 2%2028: 3%2029: 3%2030: 4%2031: 5%2032: 6%2033: 7%2034: 8%2035: 9%2036: 9%4%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 1002030: 1002031: 992032: 992033: 992034: 992035: 992036: 99100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 10 O*NET tasks for "Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation" (SOC 37-3012.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 11%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10