Can AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 51% of today's first-line supervisors of firefighting and prevention workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 21% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

30%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

11% 2030 · 21% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

1.5 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills

Firefighters9% risk by 2036 Recreation Workers8% risk by 2036 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers8% risk by 2036

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Maintain required maps and records".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Schedule employee work assignments and set work priorities".Get visibly better at your human core: "Assign firefighters to jobs at strategic locations to facilitate rescue of persons and maximize application of extinguishing agents".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.Read about a lower-risk move: Firefighters.

Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Firefighters — 9% chance of contraction by 2036
Recreation Workers — 8% chance of contraction by 2036
Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers — 8% chance of contraction by 2036

Similar occupations

Fire Inspectors and Investigators · Fire-Prevention and Protection Engineers · First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators · Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists

Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "First-Line Supervisors of Firefighting and Prevention Workers" (SOC 33-1021.00). LLM alone: 23% of tasks; with AI tools: 60%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10