All occupations › Protective serviceCan AI Replace Firefighters in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 15% of today's firefighters tasks by 2036, and there is a 9% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 9% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 7% 2027: 7% 2028: 8% 2029: 9% 2030: 10% 2031: 11% 2032: 12% 2033: 14% 2034: 14% 2035: 15% 2036: 15% 10% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 100 2028: 100 2029: 100 2030: 99 2031: 99 2032: 99 2033: 99 2034: 98 2035: 98 2036: 98 99 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
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Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Rescue victims from burning buildings, accident sites, and water hazards. 2 Dress with equipment such as fire-resistant clothing and breathing apparatus. 3 Move toward the source of a fire, using knowledge of types of fires, construction design, building materials, and physical layout of properties. 4 Inspect fire sites after flames have been extinguished to ensure that there is no further danger. 5 Inform and educate the public on fire prevention. 6 Prepare written reports that detail specifics of fire incidents. 7 Assess fires and situations and report conditions to superiors to receive instructions, using two-way radios. 8 Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered. Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Firefighters" (SOC 33-2011.00). LLM alone: 11% of tasks; with AI tools: 18%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
