Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Surgical Technologists in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 8% of today's surgical technologists tasks by 2036, and there is a 3% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
5%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
104
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
5% 2030 · 3% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 3%2027: 3%2028: 3%2029: 4%2030: 5%2031: 6%2032: 7%2033: 7%2034: 8%2035: 8%2036: 8%5%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1022028: 1022029: 1032030: 1042031: 1042032: 1052033: 1062034: 1062035: 1072036: 108104
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Surgical Assistants · Pediatric Surgeons · Anesthesiologists · Orthopedic Surgeons, Except Pediatric

Based on 16 O*NET tasks for "Surgical Technologists" (SOC 29-2055.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 10%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10