Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Psychiatrists in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 71% of today's psychiatrists tasks by 2036, and there is a 18% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
36%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 18% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.8 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 17%2027: 20%2028: 24%2029: 29%2030: 36%2031: 44%2032: 52%2033: 60%2034: 65%2035: 69%2036: 71%36%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 982031: 962032: 952033: 932034: 922035: 922036: 9298
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Advanced Practice Psychiatric Nurses · Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers · Pediatricians, General · Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors

Based on 12 O*NET tasks for "Psychiatrists" (SOC 29-1223.00). LLM alone: 9% of tasks; with AI tools: 87%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10