Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 38% of today's physical medicine and rehabilitation physicians tasks by 2036, and there is a 7% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
20%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 7% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.3 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 10%2027: 11%2028: 13%2029: 16%2030: 20%2031: 24%2032: 29%2033: 32%2034: 35%2035: 37%2036: 38%20%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1012028: 1012029: 1012030: 1012031: 1012032: 1002033: 1002034: 1002035: 1002036: 101101
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Physical Therapists · Family Medicine Physicians · Sports Medicine Physicians · Neurologists

Based on 15 O*NET tasks for "Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians" (SOC 29-1229.04). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 47%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10