Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Sports Medicine Physicians in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 57% of today's sports medicine physicians tasks by 2036, and there is a 12% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
29%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 12% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.5 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 14%2027: 16%2028: 19%2029: 23%2030: 29%2031: 36%2032: 42%2033: 48%2034: 52%2035: 55%2036: 57%29%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1012028: 1012029: 1002030: 992031: 982032: 972033: 962034: 962035: 962036: 9699
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 27 O*NET tasks for "Sports Medicine Physicians" (SOC 29-1229.06). LLM alone: 8% of tasks; with AI tools: 70%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10