Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Park Naturalists in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 71% of today's park naturalists tasks by 2036, and there is a 36% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
38%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
94
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
14% 2030 · 36% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.9 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 21%2027: 23%2028: 26%2029: 31%2030: 38%2031: 46%2032: 53%2033: 60%2034: 65%2035: 68%2036: 71%38%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 962030: 942031: 922032: 902033: 882034: 862035: 852036: 8594
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 18 O*NET tasks for "Park Naturalists" (SOC 19-1031.03). LLM alone: 18% of tasks; with AI tools: 85%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10