Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Office Clerks, General in 2026?

High exposure. AI could handle about 68% of today's office clerks, general tasks by 2036, and there is a 55% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
41%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
91
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
19% 2030 · 55% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.5 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 26%2027: 28%2028: 31%2029: 35%2030: 41%2031: 47%2032: 53%2033: 59%2034: 63%2035: 66%2036: 68%41%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 962029: 942030: 912031: 882032: 862033: 832034: 812035: 792036: 7891
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 21 O*NET tasks for "Office Clerks, General" (SOC 43-9061.00). LLM alone: 36% of tasks; with AI tools: 79%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10