Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive in 2026?

High exposure. AI could handle about 77% of today's secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive tasks by 2036, and there is a 67% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
46%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
90
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
23% 2030 · 67% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
3.8 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 29%2027: 31%2028: 34%2029: 39%2030: 46%2031: 53%2032: 60%2033: 67%2034: 72%2035: 75%2036: 77%46%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 972028: 962029: 932030: 902031: 862032: 832033: 802034: 772035: 762036: 7490
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants · Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants · Legal Secretaries and Administrative Assistants · Medical Transcriptionists

Based on 32 O*NET tasks for "Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive" (SOC 43-6014.00). LLM alone: 39% of tasks; with AI tools: 90%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10