Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Insurance Underwriters in 2026?

High exposure. AI could handle about 82% of today's insurance underwriters tasks by 2036, and there is a 73% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
43%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
90
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
23% 2030 · 73% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
5.6 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 22%2027: 24%2028: 29%2029: 35%2030: 43%2031: 52%2032: 61%2033: 69%2034: 75%2035: 80%2036: 82%43%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 962029: 932030: 902031: 862032: 812033: 782034: 752035: 732036: 7290
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Insurance Sales Agents · Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks · Financial Risk Specialists · Retail Loss Prevention Specialists

Based on 7 O*NET tasks for "Insurance Underwriters" (SOC 13-2053.00). LLM alone: 14% of tasks; with AI tools: 100%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10