Can AI Replace Security Managers in 2026?
Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 73% of today's security managers tasks by 2036, and there is a 44% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
37%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
93
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
16% 2030 · 44% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.1 roles
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Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills
Your plan
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Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks
- Retail Loss Prevention Specialists — 29% chance of contraction by 2036
- First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers — 23% chance of contraction by 2036
- First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives — 23% chance of contraction by 2036
Similar occupations
Information Security Engineers · Loss Prevention Managers · Security Management Specialists · Compliance Managers
Based on 28 O*NET tasks for "Security Managers" (SOC 11-3013.01). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 89%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10