Can AI Replace First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 49% of today's first-line supervisors of security workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 23% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

29%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

12% 2030 · 23% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

1.5 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills

Security Guards9% risk by 2036 First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers13% risk by 2036 Correctional Officers and Jailers12% risk by 2036

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Explain company policies and procedures to staff using oral or written communication".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Monitor closed-circuit television cameras".Get visibly better at your human core: "Apprehend or evict trespassers, rule violators, or other security threats from the premises".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.Read about a lower-risk move: Security Guards.

Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Security Guards — 9% chance of contraction by 2036
First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers — 13% chance of contraction by 2036
Correctional Officers and Jailers — 12% chance of contraction by 2036

Similar occupations

Transit and Railroad Police · Private Detectives and Investigators · Transportation Security Screeners · Security Managers

Based on 21 O*NET tasks for "First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers" (SOC 33-1091.00). LLM alone: 24% of tasks; with AI tools: 57%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10