Can AI Replace Actuaries in 2026?

High exposure. AI could handle about 81% of today's actuaries tasks by 2036, and there is a 62% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

39%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

19% 2030 · 62% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

3.5 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

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Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills

Chief Executives37% risk by 2036 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers46% risk by 2036 Private Detectives and Investigators30% risk by 2036

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Ascertain premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Determine equitable basis for distributing surplus earnings under participating insurance and annuity contracts in mutual companies".Take on work where you sign off, decide or carry responsibility: that part stays human.Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.Read about a lower-risk move: Chief Executives.

Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

Chief Executives — 37% chance of contraction by 2036
Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers — 46% chance of contraction by 2036
Private Detectives and Investigators — 30% chance of contraction by 2036

Similar occupations

Insurance Sales Agents · Personal Financial Advisors · Insurance Underwriters · Financial and Investment Analysts

Based on 15 O*NET tasks for "Actuaries" (SOC 15-2011.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 100%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10