Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Cooks, Restaurant in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 13% of today's cooks, restaurant tasks by 2036, and there is a 10% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
7%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 10% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 4%2027: 4%2028: 5%2029: 6%2030: 7%2031: 9%2032: 10%2033: 11%2034: 12%2035: 13%2036: 13%7%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 1002030: 992031: 992032: 992033: 982034: 982035: 982036: 9899
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Food Preparation Workers · Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria · Cooks, Private Household · Chefs and Head Cooks

Based on 20 O*NET tasks for "Cooks, Restaurant" (SOC 35-2014.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 16%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10