Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Cooks, Private Household in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 28% of today's cooks, private household tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
17%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 11% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 11%2027: 12%2028: 13%2029: 15%2030: 17%2031: 19%2032: 22%2033: 24%2034: 26%2035: 27%2036: 28%17%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 992030: 992031: 982032: 982033: 972034: 972035: 972036: 9699
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria · Cooks, Restaurant · Food Preparation Workers · Chefs and Head Cooks

Based on 13 O*NET tasks for "Cooks, Private Household" (SOC 35-2013.00). LLM alone: 16% of tasks; with AI tools: 32%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10