Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 17% of today's cooks, institution and cafeteria tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
9%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 11% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 5%2027: 5%2028: 6%2029: 7%2030: 9%2031: 11%2032: 13%2033: 14%2034: 16%2035: 17%2036: 17%9%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 992031: 982032: 982033: 972034: 972035: 972036: 9799
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Cooks, Private Household · Cooks, Restaurant · Chefs and Head Cooks · Food Preparation Workers

Based on 17 O*NET tasks for "Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria" (SOC 35-2012.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 21%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10