Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Coaches and Scouts in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 44% of today's coaches and scouts tasks by 2036, and there is a 22% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
22%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
96
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
11% 2030 · 22% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 11%2027: 13%2028: 15%2029: 18%2030: 22%2031: 27%2032: 32%2033: 37%2034: 40%2035: 42%2036: 44%22%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 992029: 982030: 962031: 952032: 942033: 922034: 912035: 912036: 9096
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Sports Medicine Physicians · Self-Enrichment Teachers · Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors · Recreation Workers

Based on 28 O*NET tasks for "Coaches and Scouts" (SOC 27-2022.00). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 53%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10