Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Writers and Authors in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 89% of today's writers and authors tasks by 2036, and there is a 49% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
59%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
93
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
17% 2030 · 49% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
5.7 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 43%2027: 45%2028: 48%2029: 53%2030: 59%2031: 66%2032: 73%2033: 79%2034: 84%2035: 87%2036: 89%59%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 992028: 972029: 952030: 932031: 902032: 872033: 842034: 822035: 812036: 8093
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 20 O*NET tasks for "Writers and Authors" (SOC 27-3043.00). LLM alone: 73% of tasks; with AI tools: 100%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10