Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 27% of today's shuttle drivers and chauffeurs tasks by 2036, and there is a 12% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
17%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 12% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 12%2027: 13%2028: 14%2029: 15%2030: 17%2031: 20%2032: 22%2033: 24%2034: 25%2035: 26%2036: 27%17%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 992030: 982031: 982032: 972033: 972034: 962035: 962036: 9698
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Taxi Drivers · Bus Drivers, School · Light Truck Drivers · Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity

Based on 26 O*NET tasks for "Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs" (SOC 53-3053.00). LLM alone: 19% of tasks; with AI tools: 31%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10