Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Orderlies in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 0% of today's orderlies tasks by 2036, and there is a 3% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
0%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
105
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
4% 2030 · 3% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 0%2027: 0%2028: 0%2029: 0%2030: 0%2031: 0%2032: 0%2033: 0%2034: 0%2035: 0%2036: 0%0%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1022028: 1032029: 1042030: 1052031: 1062032: 1072033: 1082034: 1092035: 1102036: 112105
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 24 O*NET tasks for "Orderlies" (SOC 31-1132.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 0%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10