Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Nursing Assistants in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 13% of today's nursing assistants tasks by 2036, and there is a 3% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
7%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
104
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
5% 2030 · 3% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 4%2027: 5%2028: 5%2029: 6%2030: 7%2031: 9%2032: 10%2033: 11%2034: 12%2035: 13%2036: 13%7%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1022028: 1032029: 1042030: 1042031: 1052032: 1062033: 1072034: 1082035: 1092036: 110104
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Orderlies · Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses · Medical Assistants · Psychiatric Aides

Based on 33 O*NET tasks for "Nursing Assistants" (SOC 31-1131.00). LLM alone: 5% of tasks; with AI tools: 15%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10