All occupations › SalesCan AI Replace Models in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 28% of today's models tasks by 2036, and there is a 16% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 16% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 10% 2027: 11% 2028: 12% 2029: 14% 2030: 17% 2031: 19% 2032: 22% 2033: 25% 2034: 26% 2035: 28% 2036: 28% 17% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 99 2028: 99 2029: 98 2030: 97 2031: 96 2032: 95 2033: 95 2034: 94 2035: 94 2036: 93 97 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Pose for artists and photographers, with or without clothes. 2 Gather information from agents concerning the pay, dates, times, provisions, and lengths of jobs. 3 Assemble and maintain portfolios, print composite cards, and travel to go-sees to obtain jobs. 4 Promote products and services in television commercials, on film, or in videos. 5 Apply makeup to face and style hair to enhance appearance, considering such factors as color, camera techniques, and facial features. 6 Pose as directed, or strike suitable interpretive poses for promoting and selling merchandise or fashions during appearances, filming, or photo sessions. 7 Record rates of pay and durations of jobs on vouchers. 8 Report job completions to agencies and obtain information about future appointments. Based on 14 O*NET tasks for "Models" (SOC 41-9012.00). LLM alone: 13% of tasks; with AI tools: 33%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
