Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Actors in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 19% of today's actors tasks by 2036, and there is a 10% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
13%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 10% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 9%2027: 10%2028: 10%2029: 11%2030: 13%2031: 14%2032: 16%2033: 17%2034: 18%2035: 19%2036: 19%13%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 992031: 992032: 992033: 982034: 982035: 982036: 9899
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 19 O*NET tasks for "Actors" (SOC 27-2011.00). LLM alone: 16% of tasks; with AI tools: 22%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10