Can AI Replace Home Health Aides in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 7% of today's home health aides tasks by 2036, and there is a 3% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
5%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
105
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
4% 2030 · 3% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
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Similar occupations
Personal Care Aides · Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses · Nursing Assistants · Childcare Workers
Based on 15 O*NET tasks for "Home Health Aides" (SOC 31-1121.00). LLM alone: 8% of tasks; with AI tools: 8%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10