Can AI Replace Highway Maintenance Workers in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 3% of today's highway maintenance workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 5% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
1%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
6% 2030 · 5% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
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Based on 19 O*NET tasks for "Highway Maintenance Workers" (SOC 47-4051.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 3%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10