Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 80% of today's computer numerically controlled tool programmers tasks by 2036, and there is a 46% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
54%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
93
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
17% 2030 · 46% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.9 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 41%2027: 42%2028: 45%2029: 49%2030: 54%2031: 60%2032: 67%2033: 72%2034: 76%2035: 79%2036: 80%54%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 972029: 952030: 932031: 902032: 882033: 852034: 842035: 822036: 8193
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 16 O*NET tasks for "Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Programmers" (SOC 51-9162.00). LLM alone: 71% of tasks; with AI tools: 89%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10