Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 25% of today's computer numerically controlled tool operators tasks by 2036, and there is a 17% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
17%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
97
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
11% 2030 · 17% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 13%2027: 13%2028: 14%2029: 15%2030: 17%2031: 19%2032: 21%2033: 22%2034: 24%2035: 25%2036: 25%17%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 982030: 972031: 962032: 952033: 942034: 942035: 932036: 9397
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic · Milling and Planing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic · Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic · Machinists

Based on 27 O*NET tasks for "Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators" (SOC 51-9161.00). LLM alone: 22% of tasks; with AI tools: 28%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10