Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 73% of today's wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products tasks by 2036, and there is a 54% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
36%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
92
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
18% 2030 · 54% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 16%2027: 19%2028: 23%2029: 28%2030: 36%2031: 44%2032: 53%2033: 61%2034: 66%2035: 70%2036: 73%36%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 972029: 952030: 922031: 892032: 862033: 832034: 812035: 802036: 7992
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products · Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products · First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers · First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers

Based on 20 O*NET tasks for "Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products" (SOC 13-1022.00). LLM alone: 3% of tasks; with AI tools: 90%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10