Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 7% of today's tank car, truck, and ship loaders tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
5%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 4%2027: 4%2028: 4%2029: 4%2030: 5%2031: 5%2032: 6%2033: 6%2034: 6%2035: 6%2036: 7%5%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 1002030: 1002031: 1002032: 1002033: 1002034: 1002035: 992036: 99100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 19 O*NET tasks for "Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders" (SOC 53-7121.00). LLM alone: 7% of tasks; with AI tools: 7%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10