Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Solar Photovoltaic Installers in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 18% of today's solar photovoltaic installers tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
9%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 4%2027: 4%2028: 5%2029: 7%2030: 9%2031: 11%2032: 13%2033: 15%2034: 16%2035: 17%2036: 18%9%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 1002030: 1002031: 1002032: 1002033: 1002034: 992035: 1002036: 100100
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Solar Energy Systems Engineers · Solar Energy Installation Managers · Solar Thermal Installers and Technicians · Solar Sales Representatives and Assessors

Based on 26 O*NET tasks for "Solar Photovoltaic Installers" (SOC 47-2231.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 22%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10