Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Social Science Research Assistants in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 78% of today's social science research assistants tasks by 2036, and there is a 48% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
47%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
93
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
17% 2030 · 48% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
3.1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 30%2027: 32%2028: 36%2029: 41%2030: 47%2031: 54%2032: 62%2033: 68%2034: 73%2035: 76%2036: 78%47%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 992028: 972029: 952030: 932031: 902032: 872033: 852034: 832035: 822036: 8193
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 23 O*NET tasks for "Social Science Research Assistants" (SOC 19-4061.00). LLM alone: 42% of tasks; with AI tools: 91%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10