Can AI Replace Recycling and Reclamation Workers in 2026?
Lower exposure. AI could handle about 4% of today's recycling and reclamation workers tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
3%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
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Similar occupations
Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors · Recycling Coordinators · Helpers--Production Workers · Packers and Packagers, Hand
Based on 18 O*NET tasks for "Recycling and Reclamation Workers" (SOC 53-7062.04). LLM alone: 4% of tasks; with AI tools: 4%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10